Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.219496e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000068 0.000079
2025-04-06 2.390389e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076 0.000092
2025-04-13 1.762223e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102
2025-04-20 1.366245e-05 0.000021 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000084 0.000112
2025-04-27 1.120511e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000124
2025-05-04 9.343890e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000097 0.000135
2025-05-11 8.491625e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000073 0.000107 0.000152
2025-05-18 7.159097e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000047 0.000075 0.000112 0.000164
2025-05-25 5.575954e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000114 0.000169
2025-06-01 4.485435e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000117 0.000177
2025-06-08 3.727012e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000043 0.000076 0.000121 0.000186
2025-06-15 3.096360e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000043 0.000077 0.000125 0.000196
2025-06-22 2.432380e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000078 0.000130 0.000207
2025-06-29 1.793740e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000041 0.000078 0.000133 0.000216
2025-07-06 1.196625e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000076 0.000133 0.000220
2025-07-13 8.362378e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000076 0.000135 0.000228
2025-07-20 6.314901e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000037 0.000077 0.000141 0.000240
2025-07-27 4.783484e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000079 0.000147 0.000253
2025-08-03 4.289840e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000039 0.000085 0.000158 0.000275
2025-08-10 3.173473e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000086 0.000163 0.000287
2025-08-17 1.878992e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000085 0.000164 0.000292
2025-08-24 1.150961e-07 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000166 0.000300
2025-08-31 7.372550e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000085 0.000170 0.000311